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Maximum Alert: El Niño Is Coming in Full Force and Threatens to Be One of the Strongest in History

The U.S. Climate Prediction Center estimated an 81% probability that a 'very strong' El Niño episode will develop between October and December. In Argentina, a prevention plan has already been activated.

Por Redacción El Sereno · julio 10, 2026
Alerta máxima: El Niño se viene con todo y amenaza con ser uno de los más fuertes de la historia

Global concern over the advance of the El Niño climate phenomenon is growing. In recent hours, the U.S. Climate Prediction Center (CPC) warned that the event continues to strengthen and could rank among the most intense since records began.

According to the agency, there is an 81% probability that between October and December an episode classified as ‘very strong’ will develop, an intensity reached only by some of the most significant events since records started in 1950.

The warning raised alarms not only due to the potential global impact but also because of the consequences it could have in Argentina, where the government has already launched a special prevention plan.

El Niño is part of the climate phenomenon known as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and is characterized by an abnormal increase in sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Although it develops over the Pacific Ocean, its effects can be felt thousands of kilometers away and trigger extreme weather events on different continents.

In its latest report, the Climate Prediction Center noted a high probability that the phenomenon will reach an intensity considered ‘very strong,’ meaning temperatures at least 2°C above normal ocean values. Additionally, specialists estimated a 97% probability that El Niño will remain active until the start of the boreal spring of 2027.

If this scenario materializes, the phenomenon would join the group of the most intense episodes recorded in recent decades. Historically, El Niño events cause climate disruptions in various parts of the world. In Australia, it typically brings drier conditions, while in East Africa and the southern United States, it favors above-average rainfall.

In response to the forecasts, the national government approved the Federal Coordination Plan ENSO 2026/2027, a strategy aimed at organizing the response to potential climate emergencies. The initiative was formalized through Resolution 559/2026 of the Ministry of Security and establishes that the Federal Emergency Agency (AFE) will coordinate actions with provinces, municipalities, and national agencies.

The program will remain in effect from July 2026 through the second half of 2027 and may be updated based on evolving weather conditions. Authorities identified the La Plata Basin as one of the regions at highest risk of suffering the consequences of the phenomenon. In those jurisdictions, monitoring, prevention, and response efforts for potential floods, river overflows, and other extreme events will be reinforced.

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Comentarios

  1. Para mí esto huele a excusa de los zurdos para chorear más guita. El Niño se viene fuerte, pero estos hdps no hacen un carajo, solo parches y curros. ¡Basta de joder al laburante! Viva la libertad carajo.

  2. che el niño se viene con todo y los kukas ni se inmutan para mi es el capitalismo q nos mata mientras los ricos festejan los pobres ya estamos re jodidos cambio climatico es lucha de clases #NiUnPasoAtras

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